Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 86.289717 98.654004 113.160689 131.706648 155.193686 184.537309 224.973520
2024-10-20 71.046268 86.749881 107.215798 136.869218 180.696027 246.860436 363.491157
2024-10-27 59.032073 75.031689 97.309515 132.422817 190.503166 292.673297 519.367183
2024-11-03 55.235069 73.075755 99.658775 145.549670 232.066539 417.401455 1002.495335
2024-11-10 54.383122 74.897531 107.673912 170.165817 307.776606 693.115540 3003.991777
2024-11-17 49.334065 69.334346 102.459053 169.093072 329.656411 866.315977 6821.319091
2024-11-24 44.731806 63.782503 96.165708 163.958630 339.199818 1020.997417 17774.233671
2024-12-01 41.784481 60.536663 93.348913 165.242426 367.354494 1328.933413 272508.841938
2024-12-08 39.585929 58.255466 91.876651 169.052464 406.494259 1851.752584 NaN
2024-12-15 37.287407 55.527287 89.106769 169.056852 434.014270 2471.217410 NaN
2024-12-22 34.330985 51.357849 82.972255 159.330884 420.109037 2645.764521 NaN
2024-12-29 32.900050 49.784860 81.819946 162.105587 459.112987 3925.822932 NaN
2025-01-05 29.822556 45.375116 75.189765 151.268078 444.304356 4550.524653 NaN
2025-01-12 28.466831 44.053603 74.920074 158.363629 526.693104 12182.679063 NaN
2025-01-19 26.354239 41.099103 70.735691 153.056233 541.974476 23181.373061 NaN
2025-01-26 25.907412 41.244190 73.339977 169.519281 727.806504 NaN NaN
2025-02-02 26.121252 42.691752 79.237718 200.765473 1182.115853 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 24.710983 40.695275 76.496376 199.401340 1313.135243 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 23.240217 38.437963 72.776880 192.847264 1359.968331 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 22.248235 37.088232 71.164587 194.485095 1572.773416 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 21.466104 36.105627 70.348097 199.353151 1923.842884 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 20.585031 34.834178 68.586548 199.358840 2203.678881 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 19.375385 32.770061 64.463826 186.960550 2041.377589 NaN NaN